Open-Source Large Language Models: The 2025 Buyer’s Guide
A plain-language, data-only handbook for junior college graduates and busy practitioners
Table of Contents
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Why bother choosing the model yourself? -
Four size buckets that make sense -
Giant models (>150 B): when you need the brain -
Mid-size models (40–150 B): the sweet spot for most teams -
Small models (4–40 B): run on one gaming GPU -
Tiny models (≤4 B): laptops, phones, and Raspberry Pi -
One mega-table: parameters, context length, price, and download link -
FAQ: answers we hear every week -
60-second decision checklist
1. Why bother choosing the model yourself?
-
Open-source weights mean you can download, fine-tune, and host on-prem. -
Price spreads are wild: two 70 B models can differ by 15× in cost per million tokens. -
Context length decides whether your chatbot “remembers” an entire legal contract or forgets after two pages.
2. Four size buckets that make sense
* Active params = weights actually used during inference. Smaller active count = less VRAM.
3. Giant models (>150 B): when you need the brain
3.1 Top performers (July 2025 data)
* Intelligence Score is a composite of MMLU-Pro, GPQA Diamond, Humanity’s Last Exam, LiveCodeBench, SciCode, AIME, and MATH-500 benchmarks.
3.2 Quick take-aways
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Smartest: Qwen3 235B 2507 (Reasoning). -
Longest memory: MiniMax M1 80k handles a million-token window—good for entire books. -
Cheapest per token: DeepSeek R1 0528 at $1.0 per million tokens.
4. Mid-size models (40–150 B): the sweet spot for most teams
4.1 Highest intelligence in this bracket
4.2 How to pick
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Single 24 GB GPU → Llama Nemotron Super 49B v1.5 (int8 fits in 24 GB). -
Need 10 M context → Llama 4 Scout for whole-document Q&A. -
Budget tight → DeepSeek R1 Distill Llama 70B, still 70 B-class at < $1.
5. Small models (4–40 B): run on one gaming GPU
5.1 Ceiling of this tier
5.2 Real-world numbers
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Indie developer: RTX 4090 + QwQ-32B. Local code completion costs $0.50 per million tokens. -
SME chatbot: One A6000 48 GB can serve four concurrent Qwen3 32B instances at <$0.01 per turn.
6. Tiny models (≤4 B): laptops, phones, and Raspberry Pi
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Tested: Phi-4 Mini int4 on M1 Max yields 12 tokens/s; translating a 300-word email finishes in under three seconds.
7. One mega-table: parameters, context length, price, and download link
8. FAQ: answers we hear every week
Q1. Is the difference between Intelligence 60 and 70 noticeable?
In academic benchmarks like MMLU-Pro and GPQA, yes. In daily chatbots or translation, most users won’t feel it.
Q2. Is a 1 M token context just marketing?
MiniMax demonstrates a 300 000-character novel summarized in one pass with <10 s latency. It works.
Q3. How do I estimate GPU memory?
Rule of thumb:
VRAM ≈ active params × 2 bytes (fp16)
Example: QwQ-32B (32 B active) → 32 GB fp16; int4 quantization shrinks it to ~8 GB—fits an RTX 4080.
**Q4. What does 0.0008, or about half a cent.
Q5. Do distilled models lose quality?
DeepSeek’s report shows R1 Distill Llama 70B drops only 2 % on HumanEval coding tasks while cutting cost by 10×.
9. 60-second decision checklist
Step 1: Match the task
-
Research / complex reasoning → Giant -
Company chatbot / code completion → Mid -
Local IDE plugin → Small -
Mobile app → Tiny
Step 2: Check the wallet
Step 3: Match the hardware
-
8 GB VRAM → Tiny model -
16–24 GB → Small model -
48 GB+ → Mid model -
Multi-GPU 80 GB → Giant model
Step 4: One-line install
# Example: QwQ-32B on consumer GPU
pip install transformers torch
from transformers import AutoModelForCausalLM, AutoTokenizer
tok = AutoTokenizer.from_pretrained("Qwen/QwQ-32B")
model = AutoModelForCausalLM.from_pretrained(
"Qwen/QwQ-32B",
torch_dtype="auto",
device_map="auto"
)
Closing thoughts
There’s no “best” model—only the best fit for task, budget, and hardware. Bookmark this page and share the mega-table the next time someone claims “bigger is always better.”